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Fundamental Analysis

Staying Hawkish may Become too Difficult and Costly for the Fed after the CPI Release

A softer-than-expected US CPI for November has made the job more difficult for the Fed, in the sense that it will be increasingly difficult to justify further rate hikes. Nevertheless, Powell is...

Precious Metals Monday 12-12-2022

Metals Markets Await US CPI & FedFollowing the rallies we’ve seen over the last month or so, both gold and metal look hungry to break out here. Both metals have seen choppier action in recent...

FOMC Meeting Preview: Dovish Dreams may not Come True

The Fed is expected to deliver a 50 bp rate hike on December 14, continuing to meticulously dampen inflation pressure in the economy. However, the chances of a recession that markets price in continue...

Market weekly overview: the chances of a dollar rebound increase

The past week featured quiet volatility on FX and equity markets. The key gauge of US equity’s performance, the S&P 500, oscillated in a relatively narrow range (4050-3930) and is likely to end...

CNY rally may be at its initial stages as upside surprises are yet to appear in China data

Chinese currency has risen significantly over the past few days after the government announced a further easing of social distancing measures and travel curbs. However, the rally may be at its initial...

FOMO Friday: Crude Collapses

Oil SlumpsAs something of a topsy-turvy week comes to a close in financial markets, traders are of course looking ahead to next week. The December FOMC meeting is drawing evermore attention and with...

Key events and economic reports for the week ahead

There will be plenty of fundamental events next week that promise extremely high volatility in FX and equity markets and will possibly lead to emergence of market trends that will span into the new...

SPX Poised to Escape Major Bearish Trend and the Fed may be a Catalyst

Risk assets rallied after US jobless claims data pointed to decreasing strength of the US labor market. Labor market imbalances are now the key driver of inflation (through the impact of wages on...

Dollar Slowly Gains Ground ahead of the Fed as Markets are Unsure about CB Pivot

After a positioning-driven rally in risk assets over the past couple of months, financial markets are returning to macroeconomic factors, where the 2023 global slowdown is in focus. Brent crude falls...