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Fundamental Analysis

Policy Bias in China: Fighting with Credit Leverage or Adding more Stimulus?

A key gauge of the debt burden in Chinese economy exceeded 300% of GDP, the Institute of International Finance reported. Beijing was forced to maintain the trajectory of undesirable debt...

Market discounts retail sales data focusing on the Fed comments as July meeting looms

Greenback posted surprisingly muted response to strong US retail sales on Tuesday, despite of actual figures printing almost twice higher than the estimates. Some traders went on vacation, the rest...

Saudi Arabia Under Pressure as the “Oil Market Goes Green”

Oil prices renewed their decline, maintaining the bearish tone set on Monday. US producers are gradually resuming oil production in the Gulf of Mexico after Hurricane Barry, in what serves as the...

Carry Trade Flows May Gain Momentum as China Finds Path to Recovery

An upbeat surprise in Chinese economic data for June provided a very limited "quota" for the growing market concerns this week. A pickup in macroindicators across the board, such as industrial...

Dissent among Fed members grows as hard data and expectations paint different pictures

Lail Brainard, an authoritative member of the rate-setting Fed panel, voiced support on Thursday for lower interest rates to protect the economy from risks associated with low inflation and trade...

Key economic events and reports of the upcoming week

Monday, July 15, 2019 - GDP (YoY) (Q2)(CNY), Industrial Production (YoY) (Jun)(CNY), CPI (QoQ) (Q2)(NZD).Tuesday, July 16, 2019 - RBA Meeting Minutes (AUD), Average Earnings Index +Bonus (May)(GBP),...

US jobs, CPI data can’t stop the rate cut as the policymakers focus on pre-emptive measures

Friday intraday returns of the Asian shares swayed around zero as Powell comments on Thursday delivered chilling influence on risk assets and was basically spent, investors turned their focus on...

Uber-dovish Powell gives green light for rumors about 50 bp rate cut

Gradual deterioration of consumer and corporate confidence as an aftermath of the trade standoff becomes the central theme of the Fed's argument in favour of fresh round of monetary stimulus, for the...

European Commission Lowers Growth Forecasts, but Euro is Hungry for Stimulus News

The European Commission has downgraded its outlook for the pace of economic expansion in the Eurozone next year, saying that US efforts to overhaul the global trade order poses the greatest risk to...