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Fundamental Analysis

The Crude Chronicles - Episode 7

Oil Falls On Easing Middle-East Tensions & Global Growth FearsThe CFTC COT update for the week ending September 24th showed net long positions in WTI crude futures were lower by -2,943 contracts,...

ADP Jobs Number Raises NFP Risk

Private Sector Growth SlowsLooking ahead to tomorrow’s Non-Farm Payrolls release, there is plenty of scope for volatility. The ADP employment number released on Wednesday showed that over September,...

Softer Outlook For NZD Economy

The release of the NZIER’s Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion suggests an increased likelihood that we could see negative rates in New Zealand at some point in the future. Currently, the RBNZ...

UK PM To Submit Fresh Brexit Deal To EU

New Brexit Proposals On The TableAs the October 31st Brexit deadline draws closer, there is still a great deal of uncertainty about how the UK will leave the EU or if it will at all. Under new...

RBA Cuts Rates To New Record Lows

RBA Cuts Rates FurtherThe Reserve Bank of Australia lowered its headline interest rate by a further 25 basis points overnight. The official cash rate in Australia now stands at a record low of...

The IndeX Files 01-10-2019

Equities Upside On HoldGlobal benchmark indices have commenced the week in rather a subdued fashion with most headline indices having retraced from recent highs.In the US, the equities landscape is...

The Old Good “Ratchet Effect” in US Government Spending

Some of you might notice that there was a major rebound on the US economic front in late Q3, which is best reflected in the index of economic surprises calculated by Citi:As a practical matter, this...

Precious Metals Monday 30-09-2019

GoldThe price of gold has been devalued over recent sessions as we have seen an alteration to the outlook for US rates. The Fed cut its headline rate by a further 25 basis points at the recent...

Are Buybacks the Only Foothold for Stocks Currently?

After the tax relief package was approved in the US in 2017, share buybacks pace of growth switched to the mode of “updating records”, and 2019 seems to be no exception. The ‘convenient’ and ‘easy to...